17 Aug · 03:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1395
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1500
FormWWWLW
39%
61%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H24-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-16)