17 Aug · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1258
FormLLLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1454
FormLLLLW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)