17 Aug · 04:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1450
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Paszkiewicz
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1494
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
🌟Paszkiewicz stays under total as favourite 83% (12)
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)