17 Aug · 06:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1556
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wisniewski
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1553
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Wisniewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 19% (43)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.