17 Aug · 05:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1650
FormWLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Fomin
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1539
FormWLWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H14-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)