17 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1499
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1549
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)