17 Aug · 06:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1530
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Blocho
PB
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Blocho
ELO 1553
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Blocho goes over total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Blocho
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.