17 Aug · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1435
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1463
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+28
H2H26-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.