17 Aug · 10:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1563
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skorupa
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1526
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H18-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.