17 Aug · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1619
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wichowski
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1571
FormLWWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)