17 Aug · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1562
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sobel
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1486
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)