17 Aug · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kordaszewski
ELO 1395
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1537
FormLWWLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)