17 Aug · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1628
FormWWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Wichowski
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1488
FormWWLWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)