17 Aug · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1644
FormWLWLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Fomin
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kordaszewski
ELO 1389
FormLLLLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+255
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+255)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)