17 Aug · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1384
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1560
FormLLLWW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)