17 Aug · 11:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1446
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Dabrowski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1347
FormLWWLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H22-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-15)