17 Aug · 13:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1479
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tobiasz
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1384
FormLLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Tobiasz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H47-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-26)