17 Aug · 12:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1565
FormLWWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Sobel
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1446
FormWLWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H27-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-13)