17 Aug · 15:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Blocho
PB
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Blocho
ELO 1572
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Blocho goes over total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Blocho
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H10-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.