17 Aug · 16:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Sobel
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1338
FormLLLWW
73%
27%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 87% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~77 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+225
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+225)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)