17 Aug · 16:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1645
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Glazowski
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1628
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Glazowski goes over total as favourite 72% (54)
Fair odds · Glazowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H33-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.