17 Aug · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1628
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wichowski
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1553
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 37% · 2.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)