17 Aug · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1643
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1722
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H17-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-5)