17 Aug · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1637
FormWWWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wichowski
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1466
FormLWLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+171
H2H82-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-22)