17 Aug · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1479
FormWLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Szlubowski
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1364
FormLWLLW
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowalczyk🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H19-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-10)