17 Aug · 19:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1731
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Warzecha
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1660
FormWWLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H25-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-16)