17 Aug · 22:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1252
FormLLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1358
FormLWLLW
39%
61%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)