17 Aug · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1252
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Piecowski
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1295
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Piecowski goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H42-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-29)