18 Aug · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1345
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Piecowski
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1295
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 90% (21)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 35% · 2.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)