18 Aug · 00:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1555
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Oracz
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1505
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H16-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)