18 Aug · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1184
FormLLLLL
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1638
FormWWWLL
12%
88%
🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 86% · 1.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~72 pts
0-3
44%
1-3
31%
2-3
13%
3-2
6%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+454
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+454)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)