18 Aug · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1638
FormWWWLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Zelezik
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1395
FormLLWLL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+243
H2H18-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+243)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-1)