18 Aug · 02:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1540
FormLLLWW
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Skorupa
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1184
FormLLLLL
83%
17%
🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~73 pts
3-0
41%
3-1
29%
3-2
13%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+356
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+356)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)