18 Aug · 04:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1730
FormLWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Warzecha
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1630
FormLWWWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H18-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-5)