18 Aug · 03:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1381
FormLLLLW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1680
FormWWWLW
21%
79%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 66% (56)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 85% · 1.18· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~74 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+299
H2H57-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+299)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-14)