18 Aug · 05:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1398
FormLLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Jesiek
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1502
FormLWWLW
39%
61%
🌟Jesiek goes over total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)