18 Aug · 05:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1654
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kosmal
PB
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Blocho
ELO 1578
FormWWLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)