18 Aug · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1529
FormWLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Skorupa
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1375
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H16-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-6)