18 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1438
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jesiek
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1508
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ruszkiewicz🌟Jesiek goes over total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)