18 Aug · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1514
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Blocho
PB
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Blocho
ELO 1574
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Blocho goes over total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Blocho
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)