18 Aug · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1490
FormLWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Baron
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1338
FormWLWLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)