18 Aug · 11:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1536
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Slawinski
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1599
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H26-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-13)