18 Aug · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1490
FormLWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Baron
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1293
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)