18 Aug · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1518
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Blocho
PB
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Blocho
ELO 1589
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
🌟Blocho goes over total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Blocho
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 42% · 2.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H5-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)