18 Aug · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1561
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wisniewski
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1519
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Wisniewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 19% (43)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H16-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-7)