18 Aug · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1352
FormWWWLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Slawinski
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1599
FormWWLLW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 84% · 1.20· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+247
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+247)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)