18 Aug · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1343
FormLLWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1484
FormWLLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)