18 Aug · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1286
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1476
FormLLWLW
30%
70%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~78 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+190
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)