18 Aug · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1547
FormLWWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Skotniczny
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1337
FormWLLLL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+210
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+210)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)