18 Aug · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1475
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1506
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (16)
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H10-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.